Another day, another bid for a UK plc as In-Cap heads for Countryside

Russ Mould
30 May 2022

“The pace of the action in 2022 is not quite as fast and furious as in 2021 but Inclusive Capital’s £1.5 billion bid for Countryside is the latest in a growing list of takeover approaches for UK plcs,” says AJ Bell Investment Director Russ Mould. “The 295p-a-share bid represents a 24% premium to Countryside’s last closing price, to suggest that the predator thinks it is finding some value, but even that pales when compared to the average premium of 43% offered by would-be buyers so far this year.

“That compares to the 37% average premium seen on more than 60 takeover deals in 2021 (over a dozen of which ultimately failed to go through).

“The logical conclusion therefore is that buyers, be they trade or financial, domestic or overseas, still there are a lot of UK plcs whose shares simply look too cheap, especially for American buyers who also benefit from sterling’s slide from $1.42 to $1.26 over the past 12 months.

Live or successful bids

30-May-22

Countryside Partnerships

238.6

295

Cash

Inclusive Capital

24%

26-May-22

FirstGroup

119.4

163.6

Cash + earnout

I Squared

37%

20-May-22

THG

116.5

170

Cash

Belerion Capital, King Street

46%

17-May-22

ContourGlobal

193.4

263.6

Cash

KKR

36%

05-May-22

Ideagen

243

350

Cash

HG Capital

44%

12-Apr-22

Ocean Outdoor

$8.85

$10.40

Cash

Atairos

18%

31-Mar-22

Brewin Dolphin

318

515

Cash

RBC

62%

24-Mar-22

Homeserve

703.5

1200

Cash

Brookfield

71%

02-Mar-22

McKay Securities

222.5

297

Cash + stock

Workspace

33%

25-Mar-22

Hibernia Real Estate

€ 1.18

€ 1.60

Cash

Benedict Real Estate (Brookfield)

36%

24-Mar-22

Tungsten

38.7

55

Cash

Kofax

42%

18-Mar-22

Ted Baker

98.75

137.5

Cash

Sycamore

39%

09-Mar-22

Stagecoach

76.55

105

Cash

PEIF III (DWS Infrastructure)

37%

07-Mar-22

CareTech

586

750

Cash

DBAY Advisors

28%

21-Feb-22

Clipper Logistics

777

920

Cash + stock

GXO

18%

16-Feb-22

Filta

158.5

170.7

Stock

Franchise Brands

8%

02-Feb-22

John Menzies

323

608

Cash

NAS (Kuwait) / Agility

88%

18-Jan-22

Angus Energy

0.65

1.4

Cash

Sound Oil

115%

06-Jan-22

M&C Saatchi

189

247

Cash + stock

Next Fifteen Communications

31%

AVERAGE

 

 

 

 

 

43%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Unsuccessful or withdrawn bids

21-Apr-22

RWS

351.8

 

 

Baring Private Equity Asia Fund

n/a

28-Feb-22

Oxford Instruments

2,020

3,100

Cash and stock

Spectris

53%

11-Mar-22

Pearson

649.6

 

 

Apollo

n/a

Source: Regulatory News Service (RN

“You can make the argument that company boardrooms agree, even if they may be the most entirely objective observers, given the rate at which executive teams are launching share buyback programmes. Members of the FTSE 100 are on track to buy back a record amount of stock in 2022, if they follow through on the announcements already made this year, whose value already exceeds the £34.9 billion returned to shareholders in 2018.”

Russ Mould
Investment Director

Russ Mould’s long experience of the capital markets began in 1991 when he became a Fund Manager at a leading provider of life insurance, pensions and asset management services. In 1993, he joined a prestigious investment bank, working as an Equity Analyst covering the technology sector for 12 years. Russ eventually joined Shares magazine in November 2005 as Technology Correspondent and became Editor of the magazine in July 2008. Following the acquisition of Shares' parent company, MSM Media, by AJ Bell Group, he was appointed as AJ Bell’s Investment Director in summer 2013.

Contact details

Mobile: 07710 356 331
Email: russ.mould@ajbell.co.uk

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