Most popular and best performing investments of H1 2021

Laith Khalaf
1 July 2021

•    UK small caps on a hot streak of performance
•    Bond funds bring up the rear of the performance tables
•    “Old economy” stocks top the Footsie table
•    DIY investors plump for crypto mining, meme stocks and value bargains

Laith Khalaf, financial analyst at AJ Bell, comments:

“So far 2021 has been a positive year for equity markets, but the Footsie is still playing second fiddle to the US stock market despite the rally in value stocks which make up such a big slug of UK plc. However the real stand out winner of the year to date has been the UK Smaller Companies market, which has enjoyed an incredibly hot streak of performance. Indeed so far this year the FTSE Small Cap index has repeatedly set new record highs and now sits around 20% higher than pre-pandemic levels. The smaller companies market does have a greater exposure to domestic revenues than the big blue chip index, so this is partly a vote of confidence in the UK economy but also a sign of investors positioning themselves for a risk-on market.”

Major market performance (and FTSE Small Cap)

 

H1 Total return %

FTSE 100

10.9

MSCI AC Asia Pacific ex Japan

5.7

MSCI Europe ex UK

12.3

S&P 500

14.0

TSE TOPIX

0.5

FTSE Small Cap

19.4

Source: FE total return GBP

Best and worst performing funds

“The strong performance of the FTSE Small Cap explains why UK Smaller Companies funds dominate the top of the performance table so far this year. At the bottom end of the performance table, gold funds find themselves out of favour, with a global economic recovery and rising bond yields both serving to undermine demand for the precious metal.”

 

H1 Total return %

CCM - Intelligent Wealth

33.1

Consistent - Opportunities

32.6

Guinness - Global Energy

32.3

Aberforth - UK Small Companies

32.0

Liontrust - UK Micro Cap

31.2

CFP Castlefield - B.E.S.T Sustainable UK Smaller Companies

29.3

Aviva Inv - UK Smaller Companies

29.0

Guinness - Global Money Managers

28.5

VT - De Lisle America

28.4

Marlborough - Nano Cap Growth

27.5

 

Smith & Williamson - Global Gold & Resources

-13.0

LF Ruffer - Gold

-13.1

WS - Charteris Gold & Precious Metals

-13.5

Ninety One - Global Gold)

-13.8

HSBC - MSCI Indonesia UCITS ETF

-14.3

ES - Baker Steel Gold & Precious Metals

-16.3

iShares - Global Clean Energy UCITS ETF

-17.5

HSBC - MSCI Turkey

-21.3

LF - Equity Income

-33.3

Source: FE total return GBP


Best and worst performing IA sectors

 

“At a sector level, bond funds have had a pretty grisly year so far, as vaccine optimism and inflationary fears have led to a sell-off in safe haven assets. Bonds can still offer portfolio diversification, but it’s hard to maintain a positive outlook on the asset class, particularly at the longer dated end of the market, given such low yields and a global economy that looks like it’s beginning to take off. While inflationary fears have surfaced, they have not yet really taken root, otherwise the UK ten year gilt would not be yielding a meagre 0.7%. If inflation does prove more than transitory, we can therefore expect further sell-offs in bonds. Should that happen, it would be a shock to bond investors who have enjoyed a long bull market, and who generally invest in these assets because they’re risk averse.”

IA Sector

H1 total return %

UK Smaller Companies

20.0

North America

13.1

Property Other

12.3

UK Equity Income

12.2

UK All Companies

11.9

North American Smaller Companies

11.7

European Smaller Companies

11.6

Technology & Telecommunications

11.1

Europe Including UK

11.0

Global

10.4

 

Global Corporate Bond

-1.9

USD Corporate Bond

-2.1

UK Index Linked Gilts

-2.8

USD Government Bond

-3.0

EUR Corporate Bond

-4.6

Global EM Bonds Local Currency

-4.8

Global Government Bond

-4.8

UK Gilts

-6.0

EUR Mixed Bond

-6.4

EUR Government Bond

-6.6

Source: FE total return GBP

Best and worst performing FTSE 100 shares

“The top end of the FTSE 100 performance table carries a distinct whiff of the old economy, with names like Royal Mail, BT, and Ladbrokes owner, Entain, evoking aromas of a bygone era. However while communications, logistics and gambling are longstanding industries, these markets have moved with customers, and the times. Royal Mail takes a turn on delivering parcels ordered by consumers online, BT owns the mobile network EE, and Entain derives most of its revenues from online betting and gaming.

“Lloyds bank is a perennial favourite with DIY investors, and has enjoyed a strong first half of performance, though it remains shy of its pre pandemic level. Indeed the broad UK stock market as measured by the FTSE All Share is still trading around 10% lower than its pre-pandemic level. So despite the resurgence of appetite for the UK market, it still lags behind the US where the S&P 500 is around a third higher than at the beginning of 2020.

“The bottom end of the FTSE 100 performance table is a bit of a mishmash of lockdown winners that have come off the boil, and more cyclical names that have failed to ignite demand, despite hopes for a global economic recovery.”

 

H1 share price performance %

Royal Mail Group PLC

71

Ashtead Group PLC

56

Entain PLC

54

BT Group PLC

46.7

Kingfisher PLC

34.8

Glencore PLC

32.8

St James's Place PLC

30.3

Lloyds Banking Group PLC

28.1

Johnson Matthey PLC

26.7

Evraz PLC

25.5

 

Informa PLC

-8.63

Avast PLC

-8.87

Rolls-Royce Group PLC

-11.1

London Stock Exchange Group PLC

-11.5

Ocado Group PLC

-12.4

Melrose Industries PLC

-12.9

Flutter Entertainment PLC

-13

Just Eat Takeaway.Com NV

-19

Tesco PLC

-23.9

Fresnillo PLC

-31.7

Source: Sharepad, share price performance, dividends not included

Most popular investments with AJ Bell Youinvest customers H1 2021

“The most popular shares bought by DIY investors on the AJ Bell Youinvest platform in the last six months showcases a number of investment trends which we’ve witnessed this year. At the fizzier end of proceedings, Argo Blockchain has been used by investors to get exposure to cryptocurrency, and Gamestop was the epicentre of the meme investing craze. But purchases of stocks like IAG, Lloyds and Rolls Royce show investors also continue to seek out bargains amongst the UK’s value stocks.

“Growth orientated funds still dominate the leaderboard of most popular funds, with offerings from Baillie Gifford continuing to attract investment. But there are a couple of signs of a tentative shift in investor preferences, with demand for Jupiter UK Special Situations and Blackrock World Mining suggesting some investors are positioning themselves in more cyclical areas, in preparation for an economic recovery, and perhaps inflation.”

Shares

Funds

Investment Trusts

Argo Blockchain

Vanguard Lifestrategy funds

Scottish Mortgage

Glaxosmithkline

Fundsmith Equity

Scottish

BP

Baillie Gifford American

Monks

Lloyds

Baillie Gifford Positive Change

City of London

Rolls Royce

Baillie Gifford Global Discovery

Edinburgh Worldwide

International Consolidated Airlines Group (IAG)

Fidelity Global Special Situations

Blackrock World Mining Trust

Gamestop

Jupiter UK Special Situations

Smithson

Unilever

Vanguard FTSE Global All Cap

Finsbury G&I

Tesla

Baillie Gifford Global Alpha Growth

Baillie Gifford US

Aviva

Polar Capital Global Technology

JP Morgan China G&I

Source: AJ Bell Youinvest, 01/01/21 – 30/06/21

Laith Khalaf
Head of Investment Analysis

Laith Khalaf started his career in 2001, after studying philosophy at Cambridge University. He’s worked in a variety of roles across pensions and investments, covering both the DIY and the advised sides of the business. In 2007, he began to focus on research and analysis, and has since become a leading industry commentator, as well as a regular contributor to the financial pages of the national press. He’s a frequent guest on TV and radio, and for several years provided daily business bulletins on LBC.

Contact details

Mobile: 07936 963 267
Email: laith.khalaf@ajbell.co.uk

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