Robust global equity inflows probably down to “Smith and Train effect”

Laith Khalaf
1 October 2020

•    Investors are cautious despite headline fund inflows of £1.8 billion
•    Global equity funds top the charts with £705 million inflow
•    UK Equity sector continues to be the bête noire for retail investors with £748 million outflow; over June, July and August investors withdrew £2.7 billion from these funds
•    Global and Strategic Bond funds in demand as investors chase yield
•    Most popular Q3 funds on AJ Bell Youinvest platform

Laith Khalaf, financial analyst at investment platform AJ Bell comments on the latest Investment Association figures:

“Retail investors might have put £1.8 billion into funds in August, but most of that has flooded into bonds, which is actually a bearish signal. Add into the mix that institutional investors sold down £2.2 billion of their fund holdings, and overall the picture looks nervy.

“UK equity funds continue to be the bêtes noires of the investment universe with another large outflow, for the third month in a row. Overall flows into equity funds just about managed to creep into the black thanks to £705 million flowing into Global Equity funds. 

“I suspect this is down to the Smith and Train effect, rather than any particular asset allocation call on the part of UK retail investors. Both Terry Smith and Nick Train have behemoth funds in the sector and loyal followings thanks to clear investment philosophies and strong performance. 

“Consistently strong investment into tracker funds may also help to explain the robust flows into the global equity sector, as this is a popular area for passive investment. But then again, so is the UK, which begs the question how the UK equity sectors would be looking without the steady flow of passive retail money.

“Within fixed income, global bond and strategic bond funds enjoyed healthy inflows, which suggests that while investors might be risk off with their allocation between bonds and equities, they aren’t willing to give up entirely on return. The global bond and strategic bond sectors are at the more flexible end of the fixed income spectrum, which gives them more scope to invest outside the safer, lower yielding bonds of developed markets.

“Herein we have a microcosm of the last 10 years; low interest rates encouraging investors to go out seeking yield with their tin hats on.”

Most popular Q3 funds with AJ Bell Youinvest investors

Funds

AJ Bell multi-asset funds

Fundsmith Equity

Vanguard Lifestrategy funds

Baillie Gifford American

Polar Capital Global Technology

Lindsell Train Global Equity

Baillie Gifford Positive Change

Fidelity Index World

L&G Global Technology

Fidelity Global Special Situations

01/07/2020 – 30/09/2020
 

Laith Khalaf
Head of Investment Analysis

Laith Khalaf started his career in 2001, after studying philosophy at Cambridge University. He’s worked in a variety of roles across pensions and investments, covering both the DIY and the advised sides of the business. In 2007, he began to focus on research and analysis, and has since become a leading industry commentator, as well as a regular contributor to the financial pages of the national press. He’s a frequent guest on TV and radio, and for several years provided daily business bulletins on LBC.

Contact details

Mobile: 07936 963 267
Email: laith.khalaf@ajbell.co.uk

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