Retail sales slump as consumers brace for Budget blues

Danni Hewson
21 November 2025
  • Retail sales fell by 1.1% in October
  • First fall in sales since May, with some retailers reporting consumers holding back for Black Friday deals
  • Sales were up over the three months to October, thanks to strong clothing and tech sales in September

Danni Hewson, AJ Bell head of financial analysis, comments on the latest retail sales figures:

“This is the second October in a row when retailers have had to attempt to drum up the festive spirt whilst consumers were bracing for Budget blues.

“The constant pitch rolling from the government this year has created so much uncertainty, it’s hardly surprising that shoppers are keeping their powder dry. Whether they will feel confident enough to make those big-ticket purchases during this year’s Black Friday sales is a question that must be keeping retailers up at night.

“This period is supposed to be the ‘Golden Quarter’ when businesses make enough cash to see them through the new year blues, so many will be questioning the chancellor’s decision to hold this Budget so late in the year.

“The rather un-British summer did help clothing retailers in particular, and the launch of new tech persuaded some people to splash out in September as the month delivered better sales than had previously been thought.

“Whilst retailers might have cast Rachel Reeves in the role as 2025’s Grinch, the Bank of England could ride to the rescue with a rate cut before Christmas to potentially help loosen people’s purse strings just in time for the big day.”

Danni Hewson
Head of Financial Analysis
Danni spent more than 19 years at the BBC, presenting and reporting on business news across a variety of programmes – including BBC Breakfast, BBC News Channel, BBC Look North and latterly Radio 5 Live’s flagship business programme ‘Wake up to Money’. She is now responsible for producing analysis and commentary across a broad range of subjects at AJ Bell, from financial markets, to economics and personal finance.

Contact details

Mobile: 07593 451 437

Email: danni.hewson@ajbell.co.uk

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