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Further upgrades to earnings as sales momentum continues
Thursday 22 Oct 2020 Author: Tom Sieber

Luceco (LUCE) 245p

Gain to date: 111.2%

Original entry point: Buy at 116p, 19 December 2019


The recovery at LED lighting and portable power products firm Luceco (LUCE) continues to gather pace.

Not for the first time in 2020 Luceco is upping its earnings guidance amid an increase in demand. It now expects full year 2020 adjusted operating profit of between £28 million and £30 million compared with previous expectations for £23 million.

For the quarter ended 30 September 2020, revenue rose 7.5%, better than the low-single digit growth previously forecast, thanks to better than expected demand from online, multi-channel customers and DIY markets.

Third-quarter gross margin was better than expected, with higher sales volumes driving more efficient utilisation of manufacturing overheads, the company noted.

According to Numis analyst Kevin Fogarty the company is benefitting from a ‘structural margin shift, improved business model and near-term earnings growth’. Based on his forecasts the shares trade on a 2020 price-to-earnings ratio of 17.3.


SHARES SAYS: Sales momentum continues with positive implications for earnings growth. While the stock has more than doubled since we said to buy last December, it’s worth running this winner and keeping the shares rather than cashing out now.

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