Shares & the stockmarket

  • 2 May 2018

    Paddy Power Betfair, Sage and Ocado

    “The FTSE 100 enjoys another healthy rise on Wednesday morning as results from Apple surprised on the upside overnight,” says AJ Bell Investment Director Russ Mould.

    Paddy Power Betfair

    “News of a £500m capital return to shareholders is not enough to save bookmaker Paddy Power Betfair from a bashing by the market this morning as it reports a weak...

    3 min read
  • 1 May 2018

    BP clears a high hurdle, Just Eat’s margin dilemma and National Grid is out of gas

    “The FTSE 100 trades slightly higher on Tuesday, continuing its impressive recovery from the recent lows seen in late March. Trading above the 7,500 mark, the index is back within striking distance of the record highs attained in January,” says AJ Bell Investment Director Russ Mould.

    BP

    “Oil company BP beating expectations on trading for the first...

    3 min read
  • 30 April 2018

    Investors must decide whether services and buybacks trump slowing smartphone sales at Apple

    “Tuesday’s second-quarter figures from Apple have huge implications for both the company’s own shares, the wider technology sector and even the whole US stock market, as they may leave investors having to decide whether they are happy to swap state-of-the-art technological engineering for financial engineering,” says Russ Mould, AJ Bell Investment...

    5 min read
  • 30 April 2018

    FTSE springs into life, Sainsbury’s M&A raises questions about rivals and suppliers, and WPP on life after Sorrell

    The FTSE 100 springs into life on Monday with a 0.3% rise to 7,526, driven by a strong showing from financial stocks, Sainsbury’s M&A move and advertising giant WPP bouncing back,” says Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

    Sainsbury’s

    “The proposed tie-up between Sainsbury’s and Asda raises a lot of questions regarding how the competitor and...

    3 min read
  • 24 April 2018

    FTSE storms ahead, Melrose updates on GKN trading and Focusrite amplifies the small cap space

    “It’s another positive day for the FTSE 100, advancing 0.4% to 7,429 and extending a winning streak since late March. The UK blue chip index has taken its cue from strong trading on Asian markets earlier today and is clawing its way back towards the record highs marked in January,” says AJ Bell Investment Director Russ Mould.

    Melrose Industries

    “In...

    2 min read
  • 23 April 2018

    FTSE 100 keeps rising, Capita relief despite heavily discounted fundraise, Rotork in strong demand and Clarkson sinks on profit warning

    “After a decent showing last week, the FTSE 100 has continued to shine with a small advance on Monday to 7,370. Financial services, mining and pharma are among the stronger sectors on the UK stock market today,” says Russ Mould, Investment Director at AJ Bell.

    CAPITA

    “Shares in troubled outsourcing provider Capita have jumped upwards despite the...

    2 min read
  • 20 April 2018

    Sunny end to the week for UK stock market, Royal Mail boss is twelfth FTSE 100 CEO to be replaced this year and Reckitt Benckiser misses expectations

    “The FTSE 100 has made an impressive comeback since hitting a year-to-date low of 6,888 on 26 March. The blue chip index has risen by nearly 7% since that low and now trades at 7,365. This week alone it has risen by approximately 2.5%, meaning investors should have a reason to smile in addition to the April heatwave,” says Russ Mould, investment...

    2 min read
  • 19 April 2018

    FTSE comeback, Debenhams’ latest disaster and Weir doubles down on resources

    “The FTSE 100 gains 0.2% to 7,333.07 as yesterday’s weak inflation figures continue to weigh on the pound. Around 70% of constituents’ earnings come from overseas and weaker sterling should boost the relative value of these overseas earnings,” says AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

    Debenhams

    “A 52% decline in first half underlying pre-tax...

    2 min read
  • 17 April 2018

    FTSE 100 in need of boost to earnings momentum

    Over a quarter of the FTSE 100 benchmark’s constituents are due to release figures or host their annual general meetings in the next two weeks and this could go a long way to shaping how UK equities perform in the coming weeks and months,” says Russ Mould, AJ Bell Investment Director.

    “Short-term share price movements are driven by sentiment but...

    3 min read
  • 16 April 2018

    Syria strike fails to move market, second activist targets Whitbread and Shire’s oncology sale may complicate a potential takeover UK Stock Market

    “The UK stock market barely moves on Monday despite the Syria missile strikes at the weekend serving to heighten geopolitical tensions, something that has historically had a negative impact on stock markets around the world.

    “Also perplexing is the failure for the gold price to move upwards; the precious metal has historically...

    3 min read
  • 12 April 2018

    Carpetright enters CVA, WHSmith looks to travel, Saga cruises higher

    The FTSE 100 starts more or less flat on Thursday despite mounting tensions between the US and Russia over Syria,” says AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould. Carpetright

    "Investors in carpet retailer Carpetright are having to endure more pain this morning as the company looks to enter a Company Voluntary Agreement (CVA) – essentially a formal...

    3 min read
  • 11 April 2018

    Spotify has enjoyed a successful first week – but now the hard work begins

    “Spotify shares are trading some 17% above their $132 initial reference price after their first week on the public markets but even that gain pales compared to the 51% average leap over the same time frame at Twitter, Snap and fellow recent float Dropbox,” says Russ Mould, AJ Bell Investment Director.

    Flotation date IPO price ($) Change in shares...
    5 min read
  • 11 April 2018

    Market volatility – we haven’t seen anything yet

    “Despite talk of stock market volatility, the reality is that the FTSE 100 and S&P 500 indices are still behaving pretty calmly relative to the last 20 years, so investors may need to be prepared for wilder times ahead,” says Russ Mould, AJ Bell Investment Director.

    Similar quiet periods to match the subdued stock market action of 2015-2017 – such...

    4 min read
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  • 9 April 2018

    Trade tensions cool, Rolls transformation continues, Keywords results underwhelm

    “The FTSE 100 starts the week on a positive note as trade tensions between the US and China appear to cool,” says AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

    Rolls-Royce

    “The market appears to welcome the news engineering giant Rolls-Royce is selling off its fuel injection technology business L’Orange for a little over £600m.

    “As well as providing a...

    2 min read
  • 5 April 2018

    Wall Street rally propels FTSE, Hammerson’s case for the defence, Sophos bounces back and bleak outlook for Rank

    “The FTSE 100 bounces back strongly on Thursday, taking its cue from a strong finish to a volatile trading session on Wall Street last night,” says AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

    Hammerson

    “Today’s trading update from shopping mall landlord Hammerson reads like a defence against continuing takeover interest from French rival Klepierre.

    “Ma...

    3 min read
  • 4 April 2018

    Cider maker swoops on Conviviality, WPP’s CEO under scrutiny and Entertainment One still enjoying Peppa Pig boost

    “The 7,000 mark appears to be acting as a magnet for the FTSE 100, refusing to let the index stray too far from this level. The market on Wednesday takes a 0.4% step back to 7,005,” says AJ Bell Investment Director Russ Mould.

    C&C

    “Irish cider maker C&C has thrown its hat into the ring as a potential saviour for Conviviality’s distribution business...

    3 min read
  • 29 March 2018

    Four lessons to draw from 18¼ years of precisely zero from UK stocks

    A potential takeover bid for a fourth FTSE 100 stock is helping the index to try to cling on to the 7,000 mark, as Takeda’s plan to consider an offer for drug manufacturer Shire adds to the offers (hostile or otherwise) for GKN, Smurfit Kappa and Sky.

    But that 7,000 mark is still awfully close to the 6,930.2 mark reached on 31 December 1999. This...

    7 min read
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  • 23 March 2018

    Next keeps a cool head as many of its rivals and peers start to flounder

    “ Next’s 54-page-long results release is a whopper but it is what is missing from the statement that matters more than what is in it – there is no profit warning, there is no dividend cut and there is no sense of panic,” says AJ Bell Investment Director Russ Mould.

    “Instead, investors are getting a clear analysis of the challenges which face the...

    3 min read
  • 23 March 2018

    Market rout on trade war fears, Glaxo pulls out of Pfizer bid, Indivior’s drug disaster and Aviva’s preference share climbdown

    “A rough week for the markets sees the FTSE 100 on course for a 3.6% fall at 6,902.43, reaching its lowest level since December 2016 as fears of a trade war between the US and China ratchet up,” says AJ Bell Investment Director Russ Mould.

    GlaxoSmithKline

    “After Reckitt Benckiser pulled out of a bid for Pfizer’s consumer healthcare business on...

    2 min read
  • 22 March 2018

    How to test the foundations of the property sector

    He is unlikely to have appreciated it, or cared, at the time, but Mark Twain’s advice to “Buy land, they aren’t making it any more” has long since formed the basis of the investment case for UK commercial property, either via quoted stocks or dedicated funds.

    Whether property is right for an investor’s portfolio will depend upon their overall...

    5 min read
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  • 21 March 2018

    Kingfisher’s cash conundrum, second warning for Moss Bros and Softcat’s worrying language

    “The FTSE 100 takes a small step back on Wednesday, falling 0.3% to 7,037 on the back of weakness in miners and banks,” says AJ Bell Investment Director Russ Mould.

    Kingfisher

    “The retail sector is truly going through one of its worst periods in recent memory. B&Q may be one of Britain’s best known DIY chains but brand strength doesn’t always...

    3 min read
  • 20 March 2018

    FTSE in a better mood, Ocado’s shrinking basket size and Bellway’s future risks

    “The UK stock market bounces back on Tuesday with the FTSE 100 rising 0.3% to 7,064,” says AJ Bell Investment Director Russ Mould.

    Ocado

    “Forget the snow impacting Ocado’s earnings; the more interesting fact is the reduction in the number of items per basket.

    “A reduced average order size is bad news for companies like Ocado. It isn’t really cost...

    2 min read
  • 16 March 2018

    FTSE 100’s poor show, Berkeley hits a wall and gloomier outlook for JD Wetherspoon

    “It’s been one step forward, two steps back for the UK stock market this week. The FTSE 100 is on track to end the five-day trading session more than 1% down, making it one of the worst performing major stock market indices in the world,” says AJ Bell Investment Director Russ Mould.

    Berkeley Group

    “The chairman of London-focused housebuilder...

    3 min read
  • 15 March 2018

    Four indicators suggest markets may be gathering for an upwards move

    “The FTSE 100 looks to be stabilising in the wake of February’s sudden sell-off but the index is still trading some 7% below the all-time closing high of 7,779 reached two months ago. It is being helped by a slight retreat in Government bond yields, where an increase had threatened to suck some cash away from stocks, and especially sterling, whose...

    5 min read
  • 15 March 2018

    How to use moving averages to pin down the FTSE 100

    In capital, local currency terms, the UK is the worst performing country among the 23 nations classified by the MSCI as ‘developed’ markets in 2018 to date.

    The UK is the worst performing developed market so far in 2018 Capital return, local currency Last 12 months 2018 to date * Hong Kong 25.6% Hong Kong 5.6% Austria 20.6% Singapore 4.4% Norway...
    5 min read
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  • 15 March 2018

    Savills troubles property sector, Cineworld’s new chapter and profit warning from PZ Cussons

    “While the FTSE 100 nudges ahead 0.1% to 7,141 on Thursday, overall the UK stock market remains stuck in a rut since February’s stock market sell-off,” says AJ Bell Investment Director Russ Mould.

    Savills

    “The real estate sector is weak this morning as major player Savills points to market uncertainty and a ‘tempering’ in strong transaction volumes...

    3 min read
  • 14 March 2018

    Muted response to Morrison’s figures suggests food retailers have yet to convince the bears

    “The combination of rising sales, a healthy jump in pre-tax profits, lower debt, an increased ordinary dividend and even a special dividend of 4p sounds very appealing but investors are still declining to stock up on shares in Morrison,” says AJ Bell Investment Director Russ Mould.

    “One reason for this is that operating profit fell year-on-year...

    3 min read
  • 14 March 2018

    Prudential’s amicable divorce, there is still life in Dignity and Balfour fights back

    “Insurers and miners help to lift the FTSE 100 on Wednesday with the blue chip index rising 0.2% to 7,153,” says AJ Bell Investment Director Russ Mould.

    Prudential

    “They say breaking up is the hardest thing to do, yet Prudential doesn’t seem to have any qualms about splitting its business into two. There has been speculation for years that the...

    3 min read
  • 12 March 2018

    FTSE holds firm, Melrose’s final attempt to buy GKN and Polymetal’s countless moving parts

    “The UK stock market starts the week on a quiet note as the FTSE 100 is flat at 7,227,” says Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

    Melrose

    “With just 5.76% of GKN shareholders acquiescing to its initial approach and with the 29 March deadline for acceptances fast approaching, Melrose has upped its cash and shares bid from £7.4bn to £8.1bn.

    “...

    3 min read
  • 8 March 2018

    Four reasons why financial markets may not want to see tariffs

    When Donald Trump was running for President, financial markets were wary of him, not least because of his calls for tariffs and protectionist policies, and it now looks like those fears may be realised, depending upon how America’s trading partners respond.

    Such concerns could start to counter the optimism generated by the President’s drive for tax...

    7 min read
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  • 8 March 2018

    Domino’s health warning, Countrywide flop and G4S fighting negative sentiment

    “The FTSE 100 sits on its hands on Thursday, staying flat at 7,157,” says AJ Bell Investment Director Russ Mould.

    Domino's Pizza

    “Full year results from Domino’s Pizza look impressive at first glance with UK system sales breaking through the £1bn mark for the first time and decent growth in pre-tax profit and dividends.

    “Yet under the bonnet...

    3 min read
  • 6 March 2018

    FTSE bounces back, Just Eat setback, Smurfit Kappa bid brings excitement to the packaging sector and profits down at Aggreko

    “The UK stock market bounces back with a near -1% rise on Tuesday, trading at 7,180 in the first hour of the market being open. Miners, utility companies, pharma firms and financial services groups all lead the charge,” says AJ Bell Investment Director Russ Mould.

    Just Eat

    “For the second time in a little over six months online takeaway platform...

    3 min read
  • 2 March 2018

    FTSE lower, Mondi lifted by special dividend, IMI outlook disappoints

    “The FTSE 100 starts the day on the back foot after weakness in the US and Asia overnight and ahead of a widely trailed speech by prime minister Theresa May on Brexit later,” says AJ Bell Investment Director Russ Mould.

    MONDI

    “The market’s obsession with income continues as the one euro special dividend which accompanies 2017 results from paper...

    2 min read
  • 1 March 2018

    How to build a margin of safety into stock portfolios (Part II)

    The first part of this column, which looked at price/earnings ratios (PEs) and how to use them cited Warren Buffett a lot. With uncanny timing, the American investment legend’s annual Letter to Shareholders in his Berkshire Hathaway vehicle arrived last weekend (24 February) to provide an ideal context for the second part of our look at how to...

    12 min read
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  • 1 March 2018

    WPP suffers, Howden Joinery’s property challenge and Merlin bounces back

    "The UK stock market has recently been acting like a rollercoaster in slow motion. It nudges up a tiny bit and eases back a tiny bit. Today the FTSE 100 slips 0.3% to 7,211," says AJ Bell Investment Director Russ Mould.

    WPP

    “The string of disappointing updates from WPP continues as it posts its worst set of numbers since the financial crisis and...

    4 min read